Our predictions for GW38:

Arsenal V Wolves (Prediction: 2-0)
Arsenal have been solid at both ends, scoring 67 goals with an xG of 62.9, indicating efficient finishing. Their defence has been particularly impressive, conceding only 33 goals against an xGA of 36.5. Wolves, meanwhile, have netted 51 goals from an xG of 42, suggesting overperformance in attack, but have conceded 62 goals with an xGA of 56, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Arsenal’s balanced performance and home advantage should see them secure a comfortable win.

Aston Villa V Man Utd (Prediction: 2-1)
Aston Villa have scored 55 goals with an xG of 63, showing some underperformance in attack, and conceded 49 goals against an xGA of 50, indicating a stable defence. Manchester United have netted 42 goals from an xG of 51, reflecting inefficiencies in finishing, and conceded 51 goals with an xGA of 56. Villa’s need for a win to secure European qualification, combined with United’s inconsistent form, suggests a narrow victory for the hosts.

Bournemouth V Leicester (Prediction: 3-1)
Bournemouth have been impressive offensively, scoring 55 goals from an xG of 67, indicating potential for more. Defensively, they’ve conceded 42 goals against an xGA of 51, showing resilience. Leicester, already relegated, have scored 29 goals from an xG of 35 and conceded 76 goals with an xGA of 80, highlighting struggles at both ends. Bournemouth’s attacking prowess should be too much for Leicester.

Brentford V Newcastle (Prediction: 2-2)
Brentford have netted 62 goals with an xG of 61, aligning closely, but have conceded 53 goals against an xGA of 57. Newcastle have scored 68 goals from an xG of 65.4 and conceded 46 goals with an xGA of 48, indicating balanced performance. With both teams having strong attacks and average defences, a high-scoring draw is likely.

Brighton V Ipswich (Prediction: 2-0)
Brighton have scored 57 goals from an xG of 58 and conceded 56 goals against an xGA of 53, showing consistency. Ipswich, relegated, have netted 35 goals from an xG of 37 and conceded 76 goals with an xGA of 80, indicating defensive frailties. Brighton’s superior quality should see them secure a win.

Chelsea V Nottingham Forest (Prediction: 1-1)
Chelsea have scored 63 goals with an xG of 68.5, suggesting underperformance in attack, and conceded 43 goals against an xGA of 48.3. Nottingham Forest have netted 54 goals from an xG of 47 and conceded 42 goals with an xGA of 52, indicating efficiency in both attack and defence. With both teams vying for European spots, a draw seems probable.

Crystal Palace V Liverpool (Prediction: 1-3)
Crystal Palace have scored 44 goals from an xG of 60, highlighting inefficiencies in attack, and conceded 48 goals against an xGA of 54. Liverpool, already champions, have netted 81 goals with an xG of 85 and conceded 35 goals against an xGA of 36, showcasing dominance. Despite potential rotations, Liverpool’s quality should prevail.

Everton V Tottenham (Prediction: 2-2)
Everton have scored 36 goals from an xG of 41 and conceded 43 goals against an xGA of 50, indicating a solid defence. Tottenham have netted 63 goals with an xG of 62 and conceded 57 goals against an xGA of 59, showing attacking strength but defensive vulnerabilities. A balanced contest is expected.

Fulham V Man City (Prediction: 1-3)
Fulham have scored 50 goals from an xG of 52 and conceded 47 goals against an xGA of 43, showing slight defensive underperformance. Manchester City have netted 70 goals with an xG of 67.5 and conceded 44 goals against an xGA of 47.6, indicating strong performance. City’s motivation to secure Champions League qualification should drive them to victory.

West Ham V Southampton (Prediction: 2-0)
West Ham have scored 40 goals from an xG of 46 and conceded 59 goals against an xGA of 62, reflecting average performance. Southampton, relegated, have netted 25 goals from an xG of 36 and conceded 82 goals with an xGA of 91, highlighting significant struggles. West Ham should capitalize on Southampton’s weaknesses.